Exclusionary Discipline
Disability as Discipline? The Effects of the New York City Suspension Ban on Students with Disabilities. EdWorkingPaper No. 24-902. PDF. Revisions requested at Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis.
Across the United States, suspension bans have become a popular policy response to address excessive and inequitable use of suspension in schools. However, there is little research that examines what strategies school staff employ when suspension is no longer permitted. I examine the effect of New York City's suspension ban on the use of a potential unintended substitute for suspension: special education classification. Using a dosage difference-in-differences strategy, I find that the ban induced an increase in disability classifications at high risk for classroom exclusion. I show that, on average, students with these classifications in schools with high pre-policy reliance on suspension experienced large declines in test scores, whereas general education students experienced slight test score improvements. Notably, I show that these declines are not due to new, ban-induced classifications actively harming student achievement. These results underscore the importance of considering unintended consequences and vulnerable groups when employing a seemingly "costless" and popular policy lever to reduce schools' reliance on suspension.
Acton, R. K., King, J. R., & Smith, A. C. (2025). Suspended from work and school? Impacts of layoff events and unemployment insurance on student disciplinary incidence. Labour Economics, 102844.
We study the effects of local labor market shocks and state unemployment insurance (UI) policies on student discipline outcomes in U.S. public schools. By leveraging data on both school-level disciplinary incidence and local, firm-level layoffs across 23 states, we find that ---on average--- exposure to a layoff event has a limited impact on discipline, but this average effect masks important heterogeneity across states with varying levels of maximum UI benefits. At the lowest level of UI benefits ($265), out-of-school suspensions increase by 4.5% from its mean. However, as UI benefits increase, these negative effects are mitigated. Specifically, we estimate that on average, between $480 and $600 in maximum weekly benefits is able to effectively nullify the impact of layoffs on suspensions and expulsions. These effects of layoffs on discipline are driven by large impacts on Black and male students, and we further document that layoff shocks can increase the Black-White gap in out-of-school suspensions when UI benefit levels are low, particularly in predominantly White schools.
Suspension Restrictions and Restorative Justice Funding in New York City: Interactions between Program and Policy Reform. For Urban Institute's Learning Curve Essay Series.
This study evaluates the 2015 suspension policy reform in New York City that co-occurred with a pilot program for restorative practice funding. In analyzing the joint and independent impacts of these programs on suspension rates, on average and for historically marginalized groups, the data show the suspension restrictions reduced suspension rates, leaving little room for RPs to further reduce suspension rates. Additionally, the restrictions reduced suspensions for low-level offenses and appeared to have spillover effects onto suspensions for more severe behaviors. RP funding did not provide differential spillover effects in this context. The suspension restrictions reduced racial and ethnic disparities in suspension rates, but RPs did not appear to provide any further reductions for Black or Hispanic students. Although there might not be an observable direct reduction in suspension rates attributable solely to RP funding, the provision of and training in a direct alternative to suspension in the wake of restrictions likely reduced any unintended consequences that may ensue when only restrictions are present.
Sleep Tight, Act Right? The Effect of Clock Time Policy on Student Behavior Outcomes (with Berta Bartoli). Accepted to APPAM 2025. PDF.
Policy regarding clock and solar time remains unresolved. Within the past decade, policymakers have pushed to implement permanent daylight savings time (DST) at the state and federal levels, despite evidence showing its negative effects on health outcomes. We study the effects of reduced sleep induced by late sunset time on student discipline. We use a boundary regression discontinuity design and national school-level data, leveraging variation created in sunset time generated by time zone boundaries. We find that one-hour-later sunset results in increases in student disciplinary incidence. These impacts are driven by male students and students in early and middle grades. These results add to the body of evidence that documents the detriments of time policies like permanent DST and policies that negatively influence adolescent sleep patterns, including early school start times.
Effects of Restorative Justice Funding on Student Achievement and Perceptions of School Climate. In preparation. AEFP 2024.
Education and Juvenile Justice Policy Intersections
King, J. R., & Rodriguez, L. A. (2025). Overpoliced? A Descriptive Portrait of School-Based Targeted Police Interventions in New York City. AERA-Open, 11, 23328584251375038.
This study provides a descriptive analysis of police intervention as a response to student behavior in New York City public schools. We find that between the 2016/17 and 2021/22 academic years, arrests and juvenile referrals decreased while non-detainment-based and psychiatric police interventions increased. However, Black students, especially those enrolled in schools located in predominantly White police precincts experiencing a shrinking White student population, experienced disproportionate rates of arrests, juvenile referrals, and police-involved psychiatric interventions. Schools serving more Black students experienced higher rates of interventions relative to schools with fewer Black students, but these higher rates of intervention are not explained by differences in observable student behavior and characteristics. Instead, differences in teacher characteristics and resources contribute to the excess use of police interventions in predominantly Black schools.
It's About Timing: Schools, Suspensions, and Juvenile Crime (with Jane Arnold Lincove). Email jrking@bu.edu for a draft manuscript.
School to Prison and Back Again: Juvenile Probation and Schooling Outcomes (with Jane Arnold Lincove). Email jrking@bu.edu for a draft manuscript.
We provide a descriptive portrait of educational and behavioral outcomes for justice-involved youth. We differentiate between students who arrested, adjudicated, and ultimately received different dispositional consequences including probation or dismissal. Using incident fixed effects and measures of risk, we find that the years during which students are on probation, relative to their peers whose cases were dismissed, are at decreased risk of dropout, attend more days of school, and have higher GPAs. Students on probation are no more likely to receive in-school disciplinary infractions than their dismissed peers. Implications for juvenile justice and education policy are discussed.
Second Chance or Slippery Slope? The Impact of School-Based Informal Diversion on Student Delinquency and Academic Outcomes (with Luis A. Rodriguez). Funded by the 2025 Russell Sage Foundation/Arnold Ventures Causal Research on the Criminal Justice System Competition ($100,000)
This study estimates the impact of a common informal diversion strategy: warn and release interventions. Despite their use, there is limited evidence regarding these interventions’ impact on youth outcomes, especially within the school context. We use unique school-level data on school-based arrests and warn and release interventions from the New York Police Department. We use a difference-in-differences strategy, relying on policy-induced variation in rates of warn and release, to derive the causal effect of warn and release interventions. Preliminary results suggest that increasing school-level rates of warn and release interventions improves student attendance, particularly for Black students and students with disabilities. We find no evidence of changes in suspension or infraction rates or for math and ELA test scores. However, we do observe evidence consistent with the phenomenon of net-widening: warn and release interventions increase more than expected given declines in arrest. We also find that detected crime surrounding a school increases, concentrated entirely upon young adult Black males.
Wrist Slaps or Rap Sheets? Exploring the Relationship between Alternatives to Arrest and Student Outcomes (with Luis A. Rodriguez). Under Review.
Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity Gaps In STEM
Patterns of Attrition in the STEM Pipeline (with Anthony Abraham Jack). Email jrking@bu.edu for a draft manuscript.
Cimpian, J. R., & King, J. R. (2024). An institution-level analysis of gender gaps in STEM over time. Science 386(6724), 853-856. Replication files.
Media Coverage: Phys, AAAS, NYU News Featured Story, Times Union, Brookings Institution
Men considerably outnumber women in physics, engineering, and computer science (PECS) majors, with a recent male-to-female ratio of ~4:1, a stark contrast to the near parity in other science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) disciplines. This gender disparity in PECS carries wide-reaching implications for equity, innovation, and scientific advancement. Analyzing a near-census of >34 million bachelor’s degrees awarded in the US from 2002 to 2022, supplemented with two nationally representative datasets, we provide the first comprehensive study of the gender gap in PECS across higher-education institutions. Institutions serving students with higher math SAT scores have made greater strides in closing PECS gender gaps—both in initial recruitment and retention—whereas those serving students with lower math SAT scores are increasingly struggling. Our findings highlight institutions as strategic leverage points for targeted interventions, particularly to benefit women of color who remain underrepresented even where gender balance is improving.
Disproportionate Representation within College Majors in the US: Polarized Fields and Barriers by Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity (with Zac McDermott, Joseph Cimpian, Nathaniel Woznicki, and Taek H. Kim). Forthcoming at Nature HB.
Research Consulting Reports
City of Marysville Residential Analysis (at the Western Washington University Center for Economic and Business Research, with Samantha Adams)
2020 Peer Cities Report (at the Western Washington University Center for Economic and Business Research, with Audrey Barber)
Point Roberts Economic Profile (at the Western Washington University Center for Economic and Business Research, with Allison Rucker)